Match Info

Euroleague - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Salle Gaston Medecin (Monaco)

Referee: Aliaga J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Israel	Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
World	EuroLeague TV


	AS Monaco Basket		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	2
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	2.54	1.53
	4.7	1.19	Watch
	4.19	1.25
	4.16	1.26	Watch
	4.6	1.2
	4.01	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (2.49)	1.27 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AS Monaco Basket
23.6%

Olympiacos Piraeus
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AS Monaco Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AS Monaco Basket's form might have worsened.

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympiacos Piraeus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AS Monaco Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympiacos Piraeus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

AS Monaco Basket - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 175, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +9.5, OT - Monaco (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 2 - 50%). Olympiacos (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Blossomgame J.	22. Dorsey T.
13. Hayes K.	33. Milutinov N.
55. James M.	16. Papanikolaou K.
32. Strazel M.	14. Vezenkov A.
22. Tarpey T.	0. Walkup T.
Substitutes
23. Begarin J.	94. Fournier E.
26. Nedovic N.	45. Hall D.
0. Okobo E.	88. Jones T.
	34. Joseph C.
	77. McKissic S.
	11. Morris M.
	25. Peters A.
Coaches
. Markoishvili M.	. Bartzokas G.

Preview

Olympiacos Piraeus leads series 2-0. Third leg.

Olympiacos is Qualified for Euroleague (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 3.

Recent performances by Monaco have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Olympiacos is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Monaco has had a series of away games.

Recently, Olympiacos has had a series of home games.

In this match, Olympiacos is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1549:1589. (average 77.5:79.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 563:542. (average 80.4:77.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L
3	Olympiacos	4	3	1	382:342

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco Basket
French LNB
03.05.26	Strasbourg - AS Monaco Basket	114:118 OT ✺
Euroleague
30.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	94:64 ✺
28.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	91:70 ✺
French Cup Basketball
25.04.26	Le Mans - AS Monaco Basket	83:87 ✺
Euroleague
24.04.26	AS Monaco Basket - Barcelona	79:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWW
- Olympiacos Piraeus BC
Euroleague
30.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	94:64 ✺
28.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	91:70 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
25.04.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	84:94 ✺
19.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	92:81 ✺
Euroleague
16.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Olimpia Milano	85:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
30.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	94:64
28.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	91:70
12.03.26	AS Monaco Basket - Olympiacos Piraeus	81:80
29.10.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	87:92
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	80:83 OT
Euroleague
23.05.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	68:78
27.03.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - AS Monaco Basket	77:80

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