Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Abejas de León		Aguacateros de Michoacán

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.8	1.91
	1.76	1.94
	1.74	1.94
	1.87	1.87
	1.62	2.2
	1.82	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.8)	1.95 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abejas de León
52.4%

Aguacateros de Michoacán
47.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abejas de León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Abejas de León's performance.

Aguacateros de Michoacán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aguacateros de Michoacán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abejas de León than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Abejas de León that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguacateros de Michoacán than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aguacateros de Michoacán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Abejas de León - Aguacateros de Michoacán Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Abejas will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Aguacateros will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Abejas: 71.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:91

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion to LNBP (Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Abejas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Abejas won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1242-1315.

Including matches at home between the teams Abejas won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 589-580.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abejas de León
Mexican LNBP
23.10.20	Abejas de León - Aguacateros de Michoacán	91:96 ✺
18.10.20	Panteras de Aguascalientes - Abejas de León	83:80 ✺
17.10.20	Panteras de Aguascalientes - Abejas de León	86:92 ✺
14.10.20	Abejas de León - Astros de Jalisco	88:85 OT (81:81) ✺
13.10.20	Abejas de León - Astros de Jalisco	99:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LLWWW
- Aguacateros de Michoacán
Mexican LNBP
23.10.20	Abejas de León - Aguacateros de Michoacán	91:96 ✺
18.10.20	Soles de Mexicali - Aguacateros de Michoacán	92:84 ✺
17.10.20	Soles de Mexicali - Aguacateros de Michoacán	104:95 ✺
15.10.20	Aguacateros de Michoacán - Panteras de Aguascalientes	96:90 ✺
14.10.20	Aguacateros de Michoacán - Panteras de Aguascalientes	98:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
23.10.20	Abejas de León - Aguacateros de Michoacán	91:96
27.09.20	Aguacateros de Michoacán - Abejas de León	88:83
26.09.20	Aguacateros de Michoacán - Abejas de León	107:101
11.12.19	Aguacateros de Michoacán - Abejas de León	79:76
10.12.19	Aguacateros de Michoacán - Abejas de León	99:91
19.10.19	Abejas de León - Aguacateros de Michoacán	75:71
17.10.19	Abejas de León - Aguacateros de Michoacán	65:91

Abejas de León - Aguacateros de Michoacán