Match Info

LNBP

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Domo de la Feria (León)


	Abejas de León		El Calor de Cancun

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.75	1.37
	2.57	1.45
	3.63	1.22	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abejas de León
32.8%

El Calor de Cancun
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abejas de León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

El Calor de Cancun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abejas de León than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Calor de Cancun than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Abejas de León - El Calor de Cancun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Castro A.	21. Faggiano L. (C)
7. Contreras J. (C)	0. Ivey J.
15. Greenaway Q.	11. Landis M.
24. Soto D.	24. Loveridge J.
55. Tomsick N.	33. Toppin M.
Substitutes
23. Aguilar O.	15. Camacho J.
9. Boumann V.	7. Coursey D.
5. Keith S.	16. Delgado R.
45. Morales A.	41. De Vaughn G.
30. Nuno E.	8. Fernandez M.
44. Quinn D.	10. Lacerda L.
1. Soto J.	4. Ramirez M.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Abejas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

El Calor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, El Calor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Abejas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 218:249. (average 72.7:83).

Including home match between the teams, Abejas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 66:84.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abejas de León
Mexican LNBP
21.07.25	Abejas de León - El Calor de Cancun	66:84 ✺
18.07.25	Correcaminos UAT Victoria - Abejas de León	86:83 ✺
17.07.25	Correcaminos UAT Victoria - Abejas de León	90:69 ✺
11.07.25	Abejas de León - Panteras de Aguascalientes	97:114 ✺
10.07.25	Abejas de León - Panteras de Aguascalientes	103:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- El Calor de Cancun
Mexican LNBP
21.07.25	Abejas de León - El Calor de Cancun	66:84 ✺
18.07.25	El Calor de Cancun - Mineros de Zacatecas	69:82 ✺
17.07.25	El Calor de Cancun - Mineros de Zacatecas	72:81 ✺
13.07.25	Fuerza Regia - El Calor de Cancun	75:80 ✺
12.07.25	Fuerza Regia - El Calor de Cancun	95:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
21.07.25	Abejas de León - El Calor de Cancun	66:84
09.08.24	El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de León	97:76
08.08.24	El Calor de Cancun - Abejas de León	68:76

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