Match Info

A1 - 7th-10th places

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Able Hon Friends		Chun Yu

	1	2
	1.95	1.74
	1.63	2
	2.02	1.68
	1.98	1.71
	2.01	1.61
	1.55	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.61)	1.81 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Able Hon Friends
49.3%

Chun Yu
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Able Hon Friends has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Able Hon Friends's form might have worsened.

Chun Yu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chun Yu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Able Hon Friends than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chun Yu than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Able Hon Friends - Chun Yu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:76

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Preview

Able Hon Friends has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chun Yu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Able Hon Friends will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Able Hon Friends won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 62:61.

Including home match between the teams, Able Hon Friends won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 62:61.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Able Hon Friends	5	2	3	376:420	0.400
7	Chun Yu	5	2	3	407:457	0.400

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Able Hon Friends
Hong Kong A1 Basketball
11.02.26	Able Hon Friends - Jiriki	101:71 ✺
03.02.26	Able Hon Friends - Chun Yu	62:61 ✺
29.01.26	Chun Lung - Able Hon Friends	86:69 ✺
20.01.26	Able Hon Friends - Winling	66:86 ✺
14.01.26	Jiriki - Able Hon Friends	71:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW
- Chun Yu BC
Hong Kong A1 Basketball
11.02.26	Fukien - Chun Yu	69:58 ✺
03.02.26	Able Hon Friends - Chun Yu	62:61 ✺
27.01.26	Chun Yu - Chongde Flying Eagle	54:65 ✺
20.01.26	Chun Yu - Chun Lung	71:66 ✺
15.01.26	Tycoon - Chun Yu	104:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong A1 Basketball
03.02.26	Able Hon Friends - Chun Yu	62:61

Able Hon Friends - Chun Yu