Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday


	Air Force Falcons		Sacramento State Hornets

	1	2
	1.3	3.65
	1.3	3.6
	1.31	3.5
	1.35	3.33
	1.31	3.37	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.31	3.63
	1.31	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.48)	3.5 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 130.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Air Force Falcons
72.7%

Sacramento State Hornets
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Air Force Falcons's performance.

Sacramento State Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento State Hornets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Air Force Falcons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento State Hornets than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacramento State Hornets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Air Force Falcons - Sacramento State Hornets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:62

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Preview

Recent matches Air Force is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sacramento State is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Air Force could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Air Force have a series of home games.

In this match Air Force is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Air Force Falcons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.11.24	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	82:48 ✺
21.11.24	California Golden Bears - Air Force Falcons	78:69 ✺
15.11.24	Air Force Falcons - Belmont Bruins	71:79 ✺
11.11.24	Air Force Falcons - LIU Sharks	54:63 ✺
07.11.24	Air Force Falcons - Jacksonville State Gamecocks	73:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- Sacramento State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.11.24	California Golden Bears - Sacramento State Hornets	83:77 ✺
16.11.24	Sacramento State Hornets - Cal State Northridge Matadors	69:79 ✺
12.11.24	UC San Diego Tritons - Sacramento State Hornets	64:54 ✺
08.11.24	Fresno State Bulldogs - Sacramento State Hornets	64:57 ✺
05.11.24	Sacramento State Hornets - California Maritime Keelhaulers	106:44
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLLW

Air Force Falcons - Sacramento State Hornets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide