Match Info

B.League

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: CNA Arena Akita (Akita)


	Akita Northern Happinets		Koshigaya Alphas

	1	2
	3	1.36
	2.95	1.32	Watch
	3.32	1.32
	3.2	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.33
	3.09	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.35)	1.33 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akita Northern Happinets
29.8%

Koshigaya Alphas
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akita Northern Happinets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akita Northern Happinets's form might have worsened.

Koshigaya Alphas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Koshigaya Alphas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akita Northern Happinets than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akita Northern Happinets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koshigaya Alphas than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koshigaya Alphas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Akita Northern Happinets - Koshigaya Alphas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Motoda T.	5. Clemmons A.
17. Nakayama T.	8. Diawara J.
14. Sugawara T.	45. Doumbouya S.
77. Tsuchiya A.	7. Matsuyama S.
10. Wetzell Y.	11. Sotto K.
Substitutes
27. Chol A.	12. Ikeda Y.
7. Hotta N.	18. Kamata Y.
18. Iwaya R.	31. Kitagawa S.
2. Kurihara T.	10. Mitsui K.
24. Takahira K.	20. Ngatai J.
	14. Oba T.
	28. Sugawara K.
Coaches
. Downer M.	. Anzai R.

Preview

Recent form of Akita has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Koshigaya Alphas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Akita has had a series of away games.

Koshigaya Alphas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akita won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 387:388. (average 77.4:77.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Akita won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 172:154. (average 86:77).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akita Northern Happinets
Japan B League Premier
11.04.26	Akita Northern Happinets - Koshigaya Alphas	94:85 ✺
08.04.26	Yokohama B-Corsairs - Akita Northern Happinets	92:74 ✺
05.04.26	Toyota Alvark - Akita Northern Happinets	86:72 ✺
04.04.26	Toyota Alvark - Akita Northern Happinets	85:68 ✺
01.04.26	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Akita Northern Happinets	74:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- Koshigaya Alphas
Japan B League Premier
11.04.26	Akita Northern Happinets - Koshigaya Alphas	94:85 ✺
08.04.26	Chiba Jets - Koshigaya Alphas	92:78 ✺
05.04.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Osaka Evessa	84:77 ✺
04.04.26	Koshigaya Alphas - Osaka Evessa	76:58 ✺
01.04.26	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Koshigaya Alphas	89:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
11.04.26	Akita Northern Happinets - Koshigaya Alphas	94:85
06.04.25	Koshigaya Alphas - Akita Northern Happinets	73:55
05.04.25	Koshigaya Alphas - Akita Northern Happinets	68:80
12.03.25	Koshigaya Alphas - Akita Northern Happinets	93:80 OT
23.10.24	Akita Northern Happinets - Koshigaya Alphas	78:69

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