Match Info

B.League Premier

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: CNA Arena Akita (Akita) 🌤️ ...


	Akita Northern Happinets		Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano

	1	2
	1.80	1.91
	1.88	1.76
	1.89	1.93
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	1.87	1.90
	1.76	1.93
	1.90	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akita Northern Happinets
50.7%

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano
49.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akita Northern Happinets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akita Northern Happinets than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Akita Northern Happinets - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Akaho R.	24. Daum M.
13. Smith M.	6. Furukawa T. (C)
5. Taguchi S. (C)	00. Harris K.
22. Travis R.	14. Hoshino K.
10. Wetzell Y.	13. Lee M.
Substitutes
7. Hotta N.	3. Donley E.
18. Iwaya Y.	22. Kaishu T. M.
12. Motoda T.	44. Kato D.
0. Murphy T.	15. Kawata T.
17. Nakayama T.	11. Oguri A.
11. Zhao Baiqing	27. Tokairin S.
	5. Tsuchiya D.
Coaches
. Downer M.	. Flavell J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akita won 5.

Akita has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Shinshu has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Akita could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Akita has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1580:1428 (averaging 87.8:79.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Akita against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 378:337 goals (averaging 94.5:84.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Akita Northern Happinets - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.16%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akita Northern Happinets
Japan B League Premier
11.10.26	Utsunomiya Brex - Akita Northern Happinets	71:82 ✺
08.10.26	Akita Northern Happinets - Kawasaki Brave Thunders	81:87 ✺
04.10.26	Tokyo SunRockers - Akita Northern Happinets	86:76 ✺
03.10.26	Tokyo SunRockers - Akita Northern Happinets	90:63 ✺
27.09.26	Sendai 89ers - Akita Northern Happinets	73:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLLLW
- Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano
Japan B League Premier
12.10.26	Shiga Lakestars - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	95:76 ✺
10.10.26	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - SAN-EN NeoPhoenix	81:83 ✺
08.10.26	Nagasaki Velca - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	74:71 ✺
04.10.26	Yokohama B-Corsairs - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	84:89 ✺
03.10.26	Yokohama B-Corsairs - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	85:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
03.12.23	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Akita Northern Happinets	70:80
02.12.23	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Akita Northern Happinets	64:83
27.11.22	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Akita Northern Happinets	73:80
26.11.22	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Akita Northern Happinets	83:87 OT (81:81)
07.11.21	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Akita Northern Happinets	75:79
06.11.21	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Akita Northern Happinets	76:51
04.10.20	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Akita Northern Happinets	76:80

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