Match Info

QBL

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Al-Shamal		Al-Gharafa

	1	2
	1.11	5
	1.08	6.22	Watch
	1.13	5.1
	1.12	5.2
	1.12	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.3)	5.4 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shamal
82.9%

Al-Gharafa
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shamal's performance.

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Gharafa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shamal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Gharafa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Shamal - Al Gharafa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 98:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badara A.	5. Hall J.
7. Baxter Jr. T.	18. Mohmmed M.
1. Crump T.	6. Muslic N.
11. Hajar G. (C)	1. Williams R.
17. Rector S.	8. Zarzuela J.
Substitutes
58. Arfa O.	10. Al Abdulla R.
4. Casas C.	15. Elgohary Z. (C)
0. Elbiali E.	7. Omah C.
	0. Yakan A.
	22. Zaahin W.
Coaches
. Memic M.	. Khalaf Q.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 4.

Al-Shamal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Gharafa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Shamal is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1321:1336. (average 82.6:83.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 408:393. (average 81.6:78.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Al Shamal	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Al Gharafa	0	0	0	0:0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shamal SC Basketball
Qatar Basketball League
01.01.26	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Shamal	91:83 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Ahli Doha	73:112 ✺
24.12.25	Qatar SC - Al-Shamal	79:104 ✺
22.12.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha	82:86 ✺
10.12.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal	77:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL
- Al-Gharafa SC Basketball
Qatar Basketball League
01.01.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah	85:98 ✺
29.12.25	Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa	101:82 ✺
25.12.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	98:77 ✺
15.12.25	Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa	111:99 ✺
11.12.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd	79:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar Basketball League
25.10.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	116:124 OT
27.01.25	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	77:82
21.12.24	Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa	84:78
16.12.23	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	98:89
23.04.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa	73:62
09.03.23	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	72:118
07.02.22	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	88:66

Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide