Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Alcorn State Braves		Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

	1	2
	2.01	1.76
	1.95	1.78
	2.01	1.82
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	2	1.73
	2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorn State Braves
47.3%

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
52.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorn State Braves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorn State Braves than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Alcorn State Braves - Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcorn State (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:75

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorn State won 4.

Alcorn State has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arkansas-Pine Bluff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alcorn State won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1271:1112. (average 66.9:58.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorn State won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 732:580. (average 73.2:58).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 0.22% Alcorn State: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorn State Braves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	Alcorn State Braves - Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	67:64 ✺
28.02.26	Prairie View A&M Panthers - Alcorn State Braves	72:51 ✺
26.02.26	Texas Southern Tigers - Alcorn State Braves	92:87 OT ✺
21.02.26	Alcorn State Braves - Jackson State Tigers	83:65 ✺
16.02.26	Alcorn State Braves - Florida A&M Rattlers	78:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	Jackson State Tigers - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	81:78 ✺
28.02.26	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	69:70 ✺
21.02.26	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Prairie View A&M Panthers	84:82 ✺
19.02.26	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Texas Southern Tigers	64:83 ✺
16.02.26	Alabama A&M Bulldogs - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	82:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alcorn State Braves	84:77
08.03.25	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alcorn State Braves	63:65
08.02.25	Alcorn State Braves - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	79:60
09.03.24	Alcorn State Braves - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	104:95
10.02.24	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alcorn State Braves	56:68
04.03.23	Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions - Alcorn State Braves	58:63
04.02.23	Alcorn State Braves - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	70:67

Alcorn State Braves - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions