Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Winners stage - Round 2

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Complexo Desportivo de Sangalhos (Sangalhos)


	Alianca Sangalhos		Portimonense

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.36	2.75
	1.37	2.67
	1.45	2.62
	1.36	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.84)	2.55 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianca Sangalhos
63.7%

Portimonense
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianca Sangalhos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianca Sangalhos's performance.

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianca Sangalhos than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianca Sangalhos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Alianca Sangalhos - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: Alianca Sangalhos will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Agu O.	24. Araujo B.
8. Madureira G.	45. Dumont T.
34. Manhanga D.	3. Embalo J.
21. Semedo H.	1. Fragoso D. (C)
11. Woods J.	8. Sotta H.
Substitutes
15. Alves S.	27. Elijah O.
0. Rodrigues D.	20. Manjate J.
4. Rosebush L.	11. Nwamba G.
18. Santiago F.	33. Santinhos G.
5. Seabra L. (C)	14. Santos P.
Coaches
. Gradeco F.	. Almeida C.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Portimonense have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianca Sangalhos
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
25.01.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Alianca Sangalhos	73:69 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Oliveirense	71:95 ✺
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
11.01.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Casino Ginásio	101:55 ✺
04.01.25	Braga - Alianca Sangalhos	90:78 ✺
28.12.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Maia	88:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW
- Portimonense Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
25.01.25	Portimonense - CB Queluz	88:93 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
19.01.25	Portimonense - Benfica	55:104 ✺
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
11.01.25	Portimonense - Benfica B	83:64 ✺
04.01.25	Madeira - Portimonense	59:62 ✺
28.12.24	Portimonense - Barreirense	86:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWW

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