Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Parque das Camélias (Porto)


	Vasco Da Gama Porto		Alianca Sangalhos

	1	2
	1.19	4
	1.15	3.92
			Watch
	1.22	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.54)	3.97 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco Da Gama Porto
77%

Alianca Sangalhos
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco Da Gama Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco Da Gama Porto's performance.

Alianca Sangalhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianca Sangalhos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco Da Gama Porto than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco Da Gama Porto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianca Sangalhos than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianca Sangalhos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vasco Da Gama Porto - Alianca Sangalhos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:79

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Lineups


	24. Agu O.
	15. Alves S.
	2. Banaru V.
	6. Lemos S.
	8. Madureira G.
	34. Manhanga D.
	0. Rodrigues D.
	4. Rosebush L.
	5. Seabra L.
	21. Semedo H.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco Da Gama won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vasco Da Gama will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vasco Da Gama won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 546:606 (average 68.3:75.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco Da Gama won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 249:251 (average 62.3:62.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco Da Gama Porto
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Vitória de Guimarães	88:122 ✺
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
11.01.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Illiabum	81:74 ✺
04.01.25	Casino Ginásio - Vasco Da Gama Porto	83:92 ✺
28.12.24	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Braga	93:78 ✺
21.12.24	Maia - Vasco Da Gama Porto	78:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWL
- Alianca Sangalhos
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Oliveirense	71:95 ✺
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
11.01.25	Alianca Sangalhos - Casino Ginásio	101:55 ✺
04.01.25	Braga - Alianca Sangalhos	90:78 ✺
28.12.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Maia	88:86 ✺
21.12.24	Sampaense - Alianca Sangalhos	95:105 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
30.11.24	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Alianca Sangalhos	85:84
05.10.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Vasco Da Gama Porto	71:81
06.01.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Vasco Da Gama Porto	91:87
28.10.23	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Alianca Sangalhos	89:71
19.06.21	Alianca Sangalhos - Vasco Da Gama Porto	98:55
12.06.21	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Alianca Sangalhos	75:96
06.11.20	Alianca Sangalhos - Vasco Da Gama Porto	95:74

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