Match Info

Premijer liga - Round 17

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico (Sinj)


	Alkar		Virtus Zagreb

	1	2
	2.03	1.65	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	1.95	1.73
	2.03	1.68
	2.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	1.69 (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alkar
45.7%

Virtus Zagreb
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alkar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Virtus Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alkar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Zagreb than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alkar - Virtus Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alkar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Virtus will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alkar (votes: 1 - 50%). Virtus (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Virtus (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alkar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Virtus (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Gordon D.	10. Brzoja M. (C)
35. Jukic M. (C)	16. Daniels C.
24. Jurela B.	20. Kalajzic M.
12. Kresic M.	6. Sare N.
8. Sisko F.	11. Vrankovic A.
Substitutes
1. Domazet E.	7. Buljevic L.
0. Hyder J.	1. Gainey J.
31. Karamarko G.	17. Krstanovic S.
9. Klepo A.	8. Skrobot N.
10. Matulina M.	12. Zemljic N.
7. Pavela I.
17. Tomasevic M.
Coaches
. Dominovic R.	. Pesut L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alkar won 3.

Alkar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cedevita Junior's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alkar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cedevita Junior could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alkar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1446:1769. (average 72.3:88.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Alkar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 706:812. (average 70.6:81.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Virtus Zagreb	2	2	0	185:177	4
6	Alkar	2	1	1	173:175	3

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Zagreb - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 53.57%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Alkar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
14.01.26	Dubrovnik - Alkar	79:60 ✺
09.01.26	Alkar - KK Split	87:97 ✺
03.01.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Alkar	76:81 ✺
27.12.25	Alkar - GKK Šibenka	71:64 ✺
21.12.25	Dubrava - Alkar	93:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWL
- KK Virtus Zagreb
FIBA Europe Cup
14.01.26	CSM Oradea - Virtus Zagreb	103:79 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
10.01.26	Dubrovnik - Virtus Zagreb	89:77 ✺
06.01.26	KK Split - Virtus Zagreb	90:82 ✺
Croatian Cup Basketball
30.12.25	Virtus Zagreb - GKK Šibenka	65:86 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
27.12.25	Virtus Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	85:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
02.11.25	Virtus Zagreb - Alkar	85:88 OT
12.03.25	Alkar - Virtus Zagreb	72:70
Croatian Cup Basketball
14.02.25	Alkar - Virtus Zagreb	72:62 OT
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
02.02.25	Virtus Zagreb - Alkar	69:67
16.11.24	Alkar - Virtus Zagreb	63:65
26.04.24	Virtus Zagreb - Alkar	91:80
04.02.24	Virtus Zagreb - Alkar	95:81

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