Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Silutes Vyduno gimnazija (Silute)


	Alytaus Alytus		Plunges Olimpas

	1	2
	2.1	1.6
	2.19	1.62
	2.14	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.14)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alytaus Alytus
42.3%

Plunges Olimpas
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alytaus Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Plunges Olimpas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alytaus Alytus than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alytaus Alytus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plunges Olimpas than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plunges Olimpas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alytaus Alytus - Plunges Olimpas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alytus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Bartasius Z.	24. Baltrusaitis T.
13. Degray R.	4. Golson Jr C.
11. Scott N.	8. Jurkaitis M. (C)
8. Smirnov K.	23. Kreismontas R.
1. Waters-Johnson Jr R. C. (C)	22. Thomas M.
Substitutes
7. Juozaitis J.	10. Adomauskas A.
14. Norkus J.	27. Brackus J.
30. Pocevicius M.	11. Budrys T.
5. Stankevicius T.	2. Maziliauskas M.
23. Vaitulevicius O.	1. Muhammad N.
	18. Vaistaras A.
Coaches
. Jurkunas A.	. Tamusauskas M.

Preview

Alytus is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Plunges Olimpas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alytus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Plunges Olimpas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alytus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 420:460. (average 84:92).

Including home matches between the teams, Alytus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 243:279. (average 81:93).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
12	Plunges Olimpas	3	1	2	253:267	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alytaus Alytus
Lietuvos NKL
26.02.26	Šilutė - Alytaus Alytus	89:72 ✺
21.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	89:91 OT ✺
19.02.26	Omega Tauras - Alytaus Alytus	83:80 ✺
14.02.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Alytaus Alytus	111:87 ✺
07.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Perlas Vilkaviškis	75:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Plunges Olimpas
Lietuvos NKL
26.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Vilniaus Stekas	98:82 ✺
21.02.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Plunges Olimpas	102:90 ✺
14.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Kretinga	75:73 ✺
07.02.26	Kėdainiai - Plunges Olimpas	85:80 ✺
05.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Rytas 2	86:95 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
31.01.26	Plunges Olimpas - Alytaus Alytus	102:95 OT
04.10.25	Alytaus Alytus - Plunges Olimpas	68:80
06.02.25	Alytaus Alytus - Plunges Olimpas	75:103
12.12.24	Alytaus Alytus - Plunges Olimpas	100:96
17.10.24	Plunges Olimpas - Alytaus Alytus	79:82

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