Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Lauryno Ivinskio gimnazija (Rietavas)


	Plunges Olimpas		Vilniaus Stekas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	2.85	Watch
	1.28	3.29
	1.31	3.06	Watch
	1.29	3.25
	1.29	3.27
	1.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)	3.04 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plunges Olimpas
69.9%

Vilniaus Stekas
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plunges Olimpas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vilniaus Stekas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plunges Olimpas than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plunges Olimpas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilniaus Stekas than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilniaus Stekas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plunges Olimpas - Vilniaus Stekas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Budrys T.	33. Bucas D.
4. Golson Jr C.	2. Egbuta J.
8. Jurkaitis M. (C)	5. Simeus W.
23. Kreismontas R.	23. Subotkevic R.
22. Thomas M.	22. Urbanavicius K.
Substitutes
10. Adomauskas A.	10. Brusokas K.
24. Baltrusaitis T.	13. Buskevicius A.
27. Brackus J.	12. Jonuska K. (C)
2. Maziliauskas M.	4. Klevinskas M.
1. Muhammad N.	26. Morkunas D.
21. Piekus P.	0. Rotardier K.
18. Vaistaras A.
Coaches
. Tamusauskas M.	. Stankevicius T.

Preview

Recent form of Plunges Olimpas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vilniaus Stekas has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vilniaus Stekas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vilniaus Stekas has had a series of home games.

In this match, Plunges Olimpas is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plunges Olimpas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 378:402. (average 75.6:80.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Plunges Olimpas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 231:242. (average 77:80.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Ukmerges Stekas	3	1	2	269:257	1
12	Plunges Olimpas	3	1	2	253:267	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plunges Olimpas
Lietuvos NKL
21.02.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Plunges Olimpas	102:90 ✺
14.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Kretinga	75:73 ✺
07.02.26	Kėdainiai - Plunges Olimpas	85:80 ✺
05.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Rytas 2	86:95 OT ✺
03.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Mažeikiai	79:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL
- Vilniaus Stekas
Lietuvos NKL
21.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Šilutė	80:94 ✺
19.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vilniaus Stekas	77:70 ✺
10.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Kėdainiai	70:81 ✺
07.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Rytas 2	62:80 ✺
05.02.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Alytaus Alytus	62:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
11.01.26	Plunges Olimpas - Vilniaus Stekas	81:84
25.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Plunges Olimpas	89:87
27.02.25	Plunges Olimpas - Vilniaus Stekas	77:65
04.01.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Plunges Olimpas	71:60
05.10.24	Plunges Olimpas - Vilniaus Stekas	73:93

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