Match Info

GREECE: ELITE LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Amyntas		Papagou

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.27	1.53	Watch
	2.31	1.56
	2.32	1.56
	2.36	1.52
	2.27	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.65)	1.53 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amyntas
39.7%

Papagou
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amyntas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amyntas's form might have worsened.

Papagou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Papagou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amyntas than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amyntas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Papagou than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Papagou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Amyntas - Papagou Predictions

Users Predictions: Amyntas will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:76

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Preview

Amyntas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Papagou is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Papagou will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Amyntas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 312-293.

Including matches at home between the teams Amyntas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 159-136.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amyntas BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
28.10.23	Mykonos - Amyntas	69:62 ✺
21.10.23	Amyntas - Doxa Lefkadas	58:60 ✺
18.10.23	Panionios - Amyntas	89:64 ✺
14.10.23	Koroivos - Amyntas	85:66 ✺
07.10.23	Amyntas - Psychiko	66:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Papagou BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
28.10.23	Papagou - Psychiko	74:63 ✺
21.10.23	Eleftheroupoli Kavalas - Papagou	71:81 ✺
18.10.23	Papagou - Esperos Kallitheas	71:72 ✺
14.10.23	Iraklis - Papagou	75:67 ✺
07.10.23	Papagou - Aias Evosmou	89:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
18.03.23	Papagou - Amyntas	85:83
26.11.22	Amyntas - Papagou	93:77 OT (73:73)
14.04.18	Papagou - Amyntas	72:70
07.01.18	Amyntas - Papagou	66:59

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