Match Info

Basket Liga - Play-in - Semi-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Hala Mistrzow (Wloclawek)


	Anwil Włocławek		Zielona Góra

	1	2
	1.33	3.1
	1.34	2.85
	1.34	3.4
	1.3	3.24	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.32	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	3.14 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anwil Włocławek
70.3%

Zielona Góra
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anwil Włocławek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anwil Włocławek than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anwil Włocławek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zielona Góra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Anwil Włocławek - Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Buchanan S.	0. Garrison C. J.
0. Fridriksson E.	32. Maughmer J.
7. Mucius I.	3. Mazurczak A. (C)
15. Vucic M.	7. Sulima Krzysztof .
5. Wahl T.	13. Szumert J.
Substitutes
25. Allen T.	12. Cartier P.
13. Borowski K.	10. Fayne P.
22. Kolodziej M.	6. Majewski M.
11. Lazarski B.	8. Matczak F.
4. Slaughter A. J. (C)	4. Wilson D.
16. Slupinski D.	77. Woroniecki M.
Coaches
. Ginzburg R.	. Miloszewski A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anwil won 2.

Anwil is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zielona Góra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Anwil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Anwil is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anwil won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1647:1691. (average 82.4:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Anwil won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 715:734. (average 79.4:81.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Zielona Gora	2	1	1	199:192	3
10	Anwil Wloclawek	1	1	0	88:87	2

Last Results with these Odds

Anwil Włocławek - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 68.25%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anwil Włocławek
Polish Basket Liga
06.05.26	Anwil Włocławek - Trefl Sopot	94:79 ✺
30.04.26	Dziki Warszawa - Anwil Włocławek	78:73 ✺
25.04.26	Anwil Włocławek - Śląsk Wrocław	96:83 ✺
19.04.26	Anwil Włocławek - Zielona Góra	79:70 ✺
11.04.26	MOSiR Krosno - Anwil Włocławek	87:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW
- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
06.05.26	Zielona Góra - Dziki Warszawa	105:86 ✺
03.05.26	Zielona Góra - Śląsk Wrocław	76:80 ✺
23.04.26	MOSiR Krosno - Zielona Góra	87:99 ✺
19.04.26	Anwil Włocławek - Zielona Góra	79:70 ✺
13.04.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Zielona Góra	75:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
19.04.26	Anwil Włocławek - Zielona Góra	79:70
22.12.25	Zielona Góra - Anwil Włocławek	91:82
25.01.25	Anwil Włocławek - Zielona Góra	66:76
04.10.24	Zielona Góra - Anwil Włocławek	70:97
16.03.24	Anwil Włocławek - Zielona Góra	75:93
18.11.23	Zielona Góra - Anwil Włocławek	73:83
15.01.23	Zielona Góra - Anwil Włocławek	88:84

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