Match Info

GREECE: Basket League - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Apollon Patras Indoor Hall (Patras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT


	Apollon Patras		Lavrio

	1	2
	1.57	2.3
	2.15	1.7
	1.56	2.58
	1.53	2.56
	1.6	2.4
	1.56	2.4	Watch
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.75)	2.38 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Patras
59.3%

Lavrio
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Patras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Apollon Patras's performance.

Lavrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lavrio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Patras than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apollon Patras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavrio than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lavrio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Apollon Patras - Lavrio Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Apollon Patras will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Lavrio will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Apollon Patras: 82.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Brown C.	1. Flatten S.
10. Osborne M.	11. Gromovs I.
13. Perkins J.	2. Moore K.
22. Saloustros C.	7. Mouratos V.
6. Vissariou T.	15. Thornton M.
Substitutes
1. Blondin T.	3. Castaneda X.
12. Giouzelis G.	16. Deimezis D.
11. Kafezas C.	14. Horchler N.
14. Kogionis G. (C)	55. Vazoukis I.
	13. Zaras T. (C)
Coaches
. Christopoulos G.	. Mexas K.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Patras won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Lavrio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Apollon Patras won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 714-707.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Patras won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 376-310.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Patras BC
Greek Basket League A1
21.04.24	Karditsas - Apollon Patras	95:67 ✺
13.04.24	Maroussi Athens - Apollon Patras	77:73 ✺
06.04.24	Apollon Patras - AEK Athens	89:79 ✺
30.03.24	PAOK - Apollon Patras	87:63 ✺
24.03.24	Apollon Patras - Olympiacos Piraeus	63:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWLL
- Lavrio BC
Greek Basket League A1
22.04.24	Lavrio - Maroussi Athens	76:90 ✺
14.04.24	AEK Athens - Lavrio	100:67 ✺
06.04.24	Lavrio - PAOK	89:85 ✺
31.03.24	Lavrio - Karditsas	88:95 ✺
23.03.24	Aris - Lavrio	84:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
17.03.24	Lavrio - Apollon Patras	82:75
09.12.23	Apollon Patras - Lavrio	71:60
04.03.23	Lavrio - Apollon Patras	74:68
20.11.22	Apollon Patras - Lavrio	71:54
30.03.22	Apollon Patras - Lavrio	72:62
24.10.21	Lavrio - Apollon Patras	82:66
13.04.17	Apollon Patras - Lavrio	72:61

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