Match Info

GREECE: BASKET LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT


	Apollon Patras		PAOK

	1	2
	3.9	1.27
	3.75	1.28
	3.8	1.28
	3.62	1.25
	3.62	1.26
	3.9	1.27
	3.54	1.28	Watch
	4	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (2.93)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Patras
25.2%

PAOK
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Patras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Apollon Patras's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Patras than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apollon Patras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Apollon Patras - PAOK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:81

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Basket League (Losers stage: ) and 9 in the zone Basket League (Losers stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Patras won 2.

Apollon Patras is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches PAOK is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

PAOK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Apollon Patras won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 946-1053.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Patras won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 482-497.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Patras BC
Greek Basket League A1
06.11.23	Panathinaikos - Apollon Patras	112:60 ✺
28.10.23	Apollon Patras - Kolossos Rodou	69:87 ✺
21.10.23	AEK Athens - Apollon Patras	100:70 ✺
14.10.23	Apollon Patras - Aris	70:77 ✺
09.10.23	Apollon Patras - Karditsas	72:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
05.11.23	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	63:77 ✺
Champions League Basketball
01.11.23	Benfica - PAOK	94:72 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
29.10.23	Lavrio - PAOK	86:76 ✺
21.10.23	PAOK - Peristeri BC	69:64 ✺
Champions League Basketball
18.10.23	Galatasaray - PAOK	77:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
09.04.23	Apollon Patras - PAOK	65:88
08.01.23	PAOK - Apollon Patras	97:57
16.04.22	PAOK - Apollon Patras	81:76
04.12.21	Apollon Patras - PAOK	95:91
11.02.17	Apollon Patras - PAOK	88:79
29.10.16	PAOK - Apollon Patras	84:83
12.03.16	PAOK - Apollon Patras	80:67

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