Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Benfica		PAOK

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.7
	1.5	2.5
	1.39	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	2.69 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
65.1%

PAOK
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAOK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Benfica - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 4 - 19%). PAOK will win (votes: 17 - 81%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 64.2% – 97.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:76

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

PAOK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Benfica have a series of home games.

Benfica will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese LPB
28.10.23	Benfica - Imortal	103:58 ✺
21.10.23	Porto - Benfica	79:62 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
13.10.23	Benfica - Oliveirense	71:78 ✺
Portuguese LPB
11.10.23	Benfica - Oliveirense	73:71 ✺
07.10.23	Benfica - Esgueira	110:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWW
- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
29.10.23	Lavrio - PAOK	86:76 ✺
21.10.23	PAOK - Peristeri BC	69:64 ✺
Champions League Basketball
18.10.23	Galatasaray - PAOK	77:88 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
14.10.23	Maroussi Athens - PAOK	75:80 ✺
07.10.23	PAOK - Promitheas Patras	80:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWL

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