Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Appalachian State Mountaineers		Texas State Bobcats

	1	2
	1.83	2
	1.8	2.05
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.81	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.83	2
	1.75	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	2 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 133.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Appalachian State Mountaineers
52.8%

Texas State Bobcats
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Appalachian State Mountaineers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Texas State Bobcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Appalachian State Mountaineers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Appalachian State Mountaineers - Texas State Bobcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:66

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Appalachian State won 2.

Appalachian State has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Texas State is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Appalachian State could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Appalachian State have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Appalachian State won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 1118:1147 (average 65.8:67.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Appalachian State won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 475:452 (average 67.9:64.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Appalachian State Mountaineers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.25	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Troy Trojans	61:69 ✺
20.12.24	North Texas Mean Green - Appalachian State Mountaineers	68:64 ✺
18.12.24	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - Appalachian State Mountaineers	68:62 ✺
14.12.24	High Point Panthers - Appalachian State Mountaineers	65:59 ✺
30.11.24	North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks - Appalachian State Mountaineers	76:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Texas State Bobcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.25	Marshall Thundering Herd - Texas State Bobcats	77:71 ✺
29.12.24	Texas State Bobcats - Texas-Arlington Mavericks	72:80 ✺
21.12.24	Texas State Bobcats - Georgia Southern Eagles	83:61 ✺
14.12.24	Florida Atlantic Owls - Texas State Bobcats	89:80 ✺
08.12.24	Texas State Bobcats - Rice Owls	75:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.02.24	Texas State Bobcats - Appalachian State Mountaineers	63:56
16.02.23	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Texas State Bobcats	82:75
03.02.22	Texas State Bobcats - Appalachian State Mountaineers	68:66
06.03.21	Texas State Bobcats - Appalachian State Mountaineers	73:76 OT (65:65)
11.03.20	Texas State Bobcats - Appalachian State Mountaineers	85:68
08.02.20	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Texas State Bobcats	60:57
11.01.20	Texas State Bobcats - Appalachian State Mountaineers	82:57

Appalachian State Mountaineers - Texas State Bobcats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide