Match Info

LNB 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Fortín Prat (Valparaíso)


	Arabe Valparaiso		Stadio Italiano

	1	2
	1.35	2.74
			Watch
	1.32	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)	2.83 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arabe Valparaiso
67.9%

Stadio Italiano
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arabe Valparaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Stadio Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arabe Valparaiso than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arabe Valparaiso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stadio Italiano than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stadio Italiano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arabe Valparaiso - Stadio Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:65

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Ahuile C.	77. Aravena C.
11. Albornoz M.	8. Belmar C. (C)
7. Godoy D.	7. Contreras S.
10. Jadue R. (C)	2. Galvez R.
24. Toney J.	31. Gonzalez G.
Substitutes
19. Arenas Vasquez T.	55. Escobar N.
5. Contreras M.	3. Gatica R.
2. Godoy V.	17. Hernandez M.
12. Higueras J.	10. Reinoso S.
14. Matos N.	34. Rivas F.
8. Mondaca B.	32. Valenzani R.
3. Sanchez H.
Coaches
. Gallegos M.	. Campos J.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.

Arabe Valparaiso is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stadio Italiano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arabe Valparaiso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arabe Valparaiso might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arabe Valparaiso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 323:381. (average 64.6:76.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arabe Valparaiso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 200:226. (average 66.7:75.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arabe Valparaiso
Chilean LNB 2
27.06.25	Stadio Italiano - Arabe Valparaiso	59:67 ✺
22.06.25	Arabe Valparaiso - Stadio Italiano	69:71 ✺
13.06.25	The Sharks - Arabe Valparaiso	62:65 ✺
07.06.25	Arabe Valparaiso - The Sharks	80:51 ✺
24.05.25	Illapel - Arabe Valparaiso	56:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW
- Club Stadio Italiano
Chilean LNB 2
27.06.25	Stadio Italiano - Arabe Valparaiso	59:67 ✺
22.06.25	Arabe Valparaiso - Stadio Italiano	69:71 ✺
15.06.25	Luis Matte Larrain - Stadio Italiano	74:82 ✺
13.06.25	Stadio Italiano - Luis Matte Larrain	80:82 OT ✺
08.06.25	Luis Matte Larrain - Stadio Italiano	80:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB 2
27.06.25	Stadio Italiano - Arabe Valparaiso	59:67
22.06.25	Arabe Valparaiso - Stadio Italiano	69:71
14.07.24	Arabe Valparaiso - Stadio Italiano	68:79
12.05.24	Stadio Italiano - Arabe Valparaiso	96:56
14.11.21	Arabe Valparaiso - Stadio Italiano	63:76

Arabe Valparaiso - Stadio Italiano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide