Match Info

Liga A - Play Out - Final

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: El Fortín de las Morochas (Buenos Aires)


	Argentino		Atenas

	1	2
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.12	1.65
	2.1	1.75
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)	1.66 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino
43.6%

Atenas
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Atenas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Argentino - Atenas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Argentino will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Atenas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Balbi F.	4. Buendia C.
41. Bastian L.	3. Ferreyra S.
22. Sandrini J.	28. Gonzalez L.
33. Shriver D.	77. Oberto J. C.
6. Smith D.	1. Sanders N.
Substitutes
20. Bilbao S.	13. Bustamante L. A.
7. Caporaletti M.	18. Imaz B.
8. Di Prinzio P.	15. Ledesma R.
2. Perez D.	21. Misetich G.
19. Podesta F.	2. Purifoy D.
11. Schettino N.	55. Tomatis T.
14. Trelles M.	8. Zurschmitten N.

Preview

Argentino leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentino won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1647:1680. (average 82.4:84).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentino won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 791:781. (average 79.1:78.1).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Atenas: 8.67% Argentino: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Argentino	1	1	0	79:68	1.000
9	Atenas	2	1	1	168:170	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino Junin
Argentinian LNB
10.05.26	Argentino - Atenas	61:53 ✺
06.05.26	Atenas - Argentino	78:84 ✺
04.05.26	Atenas - Argentino	96:93 ✺
19.04.26	Argentino - Regatas Corrientes	69:93 ✺
17.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Argentino	89:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLLL
- Atletico Atenas
Argentinian LNB
10.05.26	Argentino - Atenas	61:53 ✺
06.05.26	Atenas - Argentino	78:84 ✺
04.05.26	Atenas - Argentino	96:93 ✺
19.04.26	Oberá TC - Atenas	78:82 ✺
17.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Atenas	82:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
10.05.26	Argentino - Atenas	61:53
06.05.26	Atenas - Argentino	78:84
04.05.26	Atenas - Argentino	96:93
19.01.26	Atenas - Argentino	109:71
08.10.25	Argentino - Atenas	66:84
02.04.25	Argentino - Atenas	66:91
01.12.24	Atenas - Argentino	94:85 OT

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