Match Info

Liga A

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: El Fortín de las Morochas (Buenos Aires)


	Argentino		Peñarol de Mar del Plata

	1	2
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4.25	1.2	Watch
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	3.84	1.22	Watch
	4.75	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.5)	1.24 ↑ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino
23.9%

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

79.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Argentino - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Argentino will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Frontera J.	3. Basualdo I.
19. Podesta F.	73. Carreras X.
22. Sandrini J.	13. Cordoba G.
33. Shriver D.	18. Perez A.
21. Tate D.	9. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
1. Arias J.	35. Acuna R.
20. Bilbao S.	15. Chiaraviglio N.
7. Caporaletti M.	4. Guerra L.
15. De Moraes J.	10. Hoover N.
6. Smith D.	33. Rossi G.
9. Suarez F.	1. Thornton A.
14. Trelles M.	2. Tolosa F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino won 1.

Recent form of Argentino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peñarol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentino won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1525:1614. (average 76.3:80.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentino won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 788:759. (average 78.8:75.9).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Penarol: 2.81% Argentino: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Argentino	1	1	0	79:68	1.000
6	Penarol	1	1	0	62:57	1.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino Junin
Argentinian LNB
08.01.26	Argentino - Instituto Córdoba	61:76 ✺
29.12.25	Racing de Chivilcoy - Argentino	76:79 ✺
21.12.25	Unión Santa Fe - Argentino	95:84 ✺
14.12.25	Argentino - La Unión Formosa	66:85 ✺
08.12.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Argentino	88:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLLL
- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
21.12.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Independiente de Oliva	76:87 ✺
13.12.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atenas	87:67 ✺
10.12.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ciclista Olímpico	82:76 ✺
07.12.25	Obras Sanitarias - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	95:86 ✺
05.12.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	93:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
05.02.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Argentino	94:62
21.10.24	Argentino - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	83:85
10.05.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Argentino	84:77
11.11.23	Argentino - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	81:66
12.01.23	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Argentino	92:82
10.12.22	Argentino - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	72:73
16.04.22	Argentino - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	92:66

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