Match Info

Liga A

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Socios Fundadores (Comodoro Rivadavia)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima		Peñarol de Mar del Plata

	1	2
	1.38	2.85	Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.44	2.76
	1.5	2.42
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)	2.61 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima
64.2%

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Banks A.	3. Basualdo I.
22. Carabali B.	73. Carreras X.
6. Cisneros A.	13. Cordoba G.
30. Cosolito M.	18. Perez A.
12. Toretta E.	9. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
1. Cardenas J.	35. Acuna R.
10. Carrasco S.	15. Chiaraviglio N.
3. Centeno J.	4. Guerra L.
5. Chacon M.	10. Hoover N.
9. Dato M.	33. Rossi G.
77. Grun F.	1. Thornton A.
14. Rivero C.	2. Tolosa F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Gimnasia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1580:1560. (average 79:78).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 899:833. (average 81.7:75.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentinian LNB
22.11.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Gimnasia y Esgrima	84:72 ✺
20.11.25	Argentino - Gimnasia y Esgrima	64:79 ✺
18.11.25	Racing de Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima	70:93 ✺
09.11.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Regatas Corrientes	101:70 ✺
06.11.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - San Lorenzo de Almagro	84:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW
- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
22.11.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Oberá TC	71:87 ✺
19.11.25	Unión Santa Fe - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	63:82 ✺
17.11.25	Atlético Platense - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:89 ✺
12.11.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Martín de Corrientes	75:72 ✺
06.11.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	89:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
01.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:86
12.01.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima	100:86
27.04.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	79:86
16.12.23	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima	87:85
14.04.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	96:90
04.04.23	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima	76:91
22.03.22	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima	72:65

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