Match Info

Eurocup - Round 12

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Alexandreio Mellathron (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Aris		Cedevita Olimpija

	1	2
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.52	2.48	Watch
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.78)	2.44 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
61.8%

Cedevita Olimpija
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aris's performance.

Cedevita Olimpija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cedevita Olimpija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cedevita Olimpija than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cedevita Olimpija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Aris - Cedevita Olimpija Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cedevita Olimpija will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Cedevita Olimpija (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cedevita Olimpija will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cedevita Olimpija (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Andusic D.	20. Cerkvenik M.
23. Enoch S.	33. Chougkaz N.
25. Harrell R.	1. Gibson U.
3. Jones B.	54. Kennedy T.
5. Noua A.	0. Stewart D.J.
Substitutes
7. Forbes B.	11. Blazic J.
10. Forester J.	7. Brajkovic L.
12. Gkiouzelis G.	2. Girard III J.
17. Kazamias V.	4. McNair W.
98. Kulboka A.	5. Nikolic A.
0. Mitrou-Long E.	24. Skara D.
11. Poulianitis S.	14. Ustun D.
Coaches
. Milicic I.	. Mitrovic Z.

Preview

Aris is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cedevita Olimpija's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aris will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 213:260. (average 71:86.7).

Including home match between the teams, Aris won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 75:82.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
27.12.25	AEK Athens - Aris	82:76 ✺
20.12.25	Aris - Peristeri BC	81:76 OT ✺
Eurocup
17.12.25	BCJ Hamburg - Aris	89:92 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
13.12.25	Iraklis - Aris	80:82 ✺
Eurocup
10.12.25	Aris - Venezia	90:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW
- Cedevita Olimpija
Adriatic League
27.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Cedevita Olimpija	97:77 ✺
Slovenian Cup Basketball
23.12.25	Ilirija - Cedevita Olimpija	78:84 ✺
Adriatic League
21.12.25	Mega Basket - Cedevita Olimpija	72:90 ✺
Eurocup
16.12.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Hapoel Jerusalem	81:84 ✺
Adriatic League
13.12.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Bosna	89:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
14.10.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Aris	80:59
08.01.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Aris	98:79
23.10.24	Aris - Cedevita Olimpija	75:82

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