Match Info

Eurocup - Round 5

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Hala sportova Ranko Žeravica (Belgrade)

Referee: Theis C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Hapoel Jerusalem		Aris

	1	2
	1.22	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.45
	1.24	3.45	Watch
	1.23	3.83	Watch
	1.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)	4.09 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Jerusalem
77%

Aris
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Jerusalem's performance.

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Jerusalem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Hapoel Jerusalem - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hapoel Jerusalem will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Aris will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Aris (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Carrington K.	23. Enoch S.
1. Harper J.	7. Forbes B.
22. Lamb A.	3. Jones B.
5. Wiley A.	98. Kulboka A.
50. Zoosman Y.	11. Poulianitis S.
Substitutes
13. Huber R.	13. Bochoridis E.
91. James J.	10. Forester J.
6. Paretsky R.	12. Gkiouzelis G.
44. Skapintsev D.	25. Harrell R.
0. Smith J.	17. Kazamias V.
8. Winston C.	8. Merkviladze A.
	00. Mitrou-Long E.
Coaches
. Alon Y.	. Karaicic B.

Preview

Neutral location - Hala sportova Ranko Žeravica.

In recent matches, Hapoel Jerusalem has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aris's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hapoel Jerusalem is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Jerusalem won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 168:153. (average 84:76.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Jerusalem won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 90:85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Basketball Super League
25.10.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel HaEmek	65:69 ✺
Eurocup
21.10.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Śląsk Wrocław	86:69 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
18.10.25	Hapoel Holon - Hapoel Jerusalem	78:77 ✺
Eurocup
15.10.25	Basquet Manresa - Hapoel Jerusalem	101:94 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
12.10.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Ironi Nes Ziona	79:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLLW
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
25.10.25	Panionios - Aris	73:90 ✺
Eurocup
21.10.25	Aris - Basquet Manresa	79:86 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
18.10.25	Maroussi Athens - Aris	108:103 OT ✺
Eurocup
14.10.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Aris	80:59 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
11.10.25	Aris - Kolossos Rodou	65:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
02.01.25	Hapoel Jerusalem - Aris	90:85
16.10.24	Aris - Hapoel Jerusalem	68:78

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