Match Info

EUROPE: EUROCUP - ROUND 8

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports


	Aris		Ratiopharm Ulm

	1	2
	2.35	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.35	1.69
	2.23	1.69
	2.1	1.67
	2.23	1.66	Watch
	2.21	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.09)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris
42.6%

Ratiopharm Ulm
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ratiopharm Ulm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratiopharm Ulm than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Aris - Ratiopharm Ulm Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Ulm will win (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Preview

Recent matches Aris is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ulm is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aris have a series of guest games.

Ulm will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Basket League A1
18.11.23	PAOK - Aris	82:76 ✺
Eurocup
14.11.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Aris	72:65 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
12.11.23	Aris - Panathinaikos	65:75 ✺
Eurocup
08.11.23	KK Budućnost - Aris	63:65 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
04.11.23	Kolossos Rodou - Aris	78:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWW
- Ratiopharm Ulm
German BBL
19.11.23	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Ratiopharm Ulm	83:88 ✺
Eurocup
14.11.23	Ratiopharm Ulm - KK Budućnost	84:67 ✺
German BBL
11.11.23	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Ratiopharm Ulm	94:98 OT ✺
Eurocup
08.11.23	U BT Cluj-Napoca - Ratiopharm Ulm	86:75 ✺
German BBL
05.11.23	Ratiopharm Ulm - Baskets Bonn	105:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

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