Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Arkansas State Red Wolves		North Dakota State Bison

	1	2
	1.61	2.4
	1.57	2.31
	1.59	2.42
	1.75	1.92	Watch
	1.59	2.24
	1.66	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	2.26 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas State Red Wolves
58.1%

North Dakota State Bison
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arkansas State Red Wolves's performance.

North Dakota State Bison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Dakota State Bison might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arkansas State Red Wolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Dakota State Bison than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Dakota State Bison could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arkansas State Red Wolves - North Dakota State Bison Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arkansas State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arkansas State has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 139:150. (average 69.5:75).

Including home match between the teams, Arkansas State won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:74.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas State Red Wolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.11.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Jacksonville State Gamecocks	74:63 ✺
21.11.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Arkansas State Red Wolves	100:69 ✺
19.11.25	St. Marys CA Gaels - Arkansas State Red Wolves	85:72 ✺
11.11.25	Missouri State Bears - Arkansas State Red Wolves	85:86 ✺
07.11.25	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks - Arkansas State Red Wolves	90:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL
- North Dakota State Bison basketball
NCAA College Basketball
26.11.25	Jacksonville State Gamecocks - North Dakota State Bison	43:56 ✺
17.11.25	North Dakota State Bison - Southern Illinois Salukis	92:85 ✺
11.11.25	North Dakota State Bison - Cal State Northridge Matadors	90:68 ✺
05.11.25	UC Davis Aggies - North Dakota State Bison	80:68 ✺
03.11.25	Oregon State Beavers - North Dakota State Bison	67:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
11.11.16	North Dakota State Bison - Arkansas State Red Wolves	76:66
04.12.15	Arkansas State Red Wolves - North Dakota State Bison	73:74

Arkansas State Red Wolves - North Dakota State Bison: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide