Match Info

USA: NIT - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Arkansas State Red Wolves		St. Louis Billikens

	1	2
	1.4	3.05
	1.53	2.55
	1.38	2.9
	1.38	2.99	Watch
	1.37	3.2
	1.41	3.03
	1.38	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)	2.95 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas State Red Wolves
67.7%

St. Louis Billikens
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arkansas State Red Wolves's performance.

St. Louis Billikens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Louis Billikens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arkansas State Red Wolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Billikens than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Louis Billikens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arkansas State Red Wolves - St. Louis Billikens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:74

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Preview

Arkansas State is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches St. Louis is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St. Louis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Arkansas State have a series of guest games.

Arkansas State will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas State Red Wolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.03.25	Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves	94:81 ✺
09.03.25	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	71:74 ✺
08.03.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Marshall Thundering Herd	77:74 ✺
28.02.25	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Arkansas State Red Wolves	67:94 ✺
26.02.25	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - Arkansas State Red Wolves	64:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- St. Louis Billikens basketball
NCAA College Basketball
14.03.25	Loyola IL Ramblers - St. Louis Billikens	72:64 ✺
13.03.25	St. Louis Billikens - Davidson Wildcats	83:75 ✺
08.03.25	St. Louis Billikens - Duquesne Dukes	90:88 OT ✺
04.03.25	Dayton Flyers - St. Louis Billikens	75:67 ✺
01.03.25	St. Louis Billikens - Loyola IL Ramblers	98:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

Arkansas State Red Wolves - St. Louis Billikens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide