Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Army Black Knights		Colgate Raiders

	1	2
	4.1	1.26
	3.8	1.23
	3.94	1.22	Watch
	4	1.25
	3.72	1.26
	4.5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (2.89)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Army Black Knights
23.6%

Colgate Raiders
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Army Black Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Army Black Knights's form might have worsened.

Colgate Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colgate Raiders's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Army Black Knights than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Army Black Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colgate Raiders than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colgate Raiders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Army Black Knights - Colgate Raiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:79

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Army won 1.

Army is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Colgate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Army may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colgate is the team to beat.

We predict that Army will win today's game, with odds of 3.23.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Army won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 1340:1570. (average 67:78.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Army won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 618:653. (average 68.7:72.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Army Black Knights - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Army Black Knights basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.12.25	Lehigh Mountain Hawks - Army Black Knights	78:85 OT ✺
23.12.25	Army Black Knights - Binghamton Bearcats	95:85 OT ✺
12.12.25	UMBC Retrievers - Army Black Knights	60:63 ✺
02.12.25	Army Black Knights - George Washington Colonials	70:84 ✺
29.11.25	Army Black Knights - Manhattan Jaspers	81:78 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWLW
- Colgate Raiders basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.12.25	Lafayette Leopards - Colgate Raiders	77:85 ✺
28.12.25	Colgate Raiders - Harvard Crimson	69:78 ✺
21.12.25	Florida Gators - Colgate Raiders	90:60 ✺
10.12.25	St. Bonaventure Bonnies - Colgate Raiders	85:77 ✺
30.11.25	Colgate Raiders - Fordham Rams	72:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
06.03.25	Colgate Raiders - Army Black Knights	84:55
29.01.25	Army Black Knights - Colgate Raiders	84:72
02.01.25	Colgate Raiders - Army Black Knights	71:59
31.01.24	Colgate Raiders - Army Black Knights	74:55
17.01.24	Army Black Knights - Colgate Raiders	56:77
05.03.23	Colgate Raiders - Army Black Knights	91:74
15.02.23	Colgate Raiders - Army Black Knights	93:86

Army Black Knights - Colgate Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide