Match Info

RUSSIA: VTB United League - Losers stage

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Saryarka Velodrome (Astana)


	Astana		Runa Moscow

	1	2
	2.58	1.46
	2.52	1.46
	2.74	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.81)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
35.8%

Runa Moscow
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Runa Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Runa Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Astana - Runa Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Anderson K.	5. Hill J.
2. Johnson M.	18. Ivanovic N.
21. Marchuk R.	13. Morgan J.
9. Shcherbak V.	37. Popov I.
11. Skipper-Brown J.	43. Zhmako N.
Substitutes
47. Aitkali R.	8. Komissarov A.
7. Davis D.	11. Mitkin B.
24. Gavrilov D.	30. Pokhodyaev D.
25. Marchuk M.	99. Samoilenko I.
3. Murzagaliyev R.	1. Young C.
8. Pusica V.

Preview

Astana is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Runa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Runa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Runa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Astana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 232-243.

Including matches at home between the teams Astana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 90-93.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Astana
VTB United League
31.03.24	Avtodor Saratov - Astana	92:83 ✺
27.03.24	Minsk - Astana	60:58 ✺
24.03.24	Astana - MBA Moscow	54:76 ✺
21.03.24	Astana - Uralmash	61:96 ✺
18.03.24	Runa Moscow - Astana	70:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW
- Runa Moscow
VTB United League
01.04.24	Runa Moscow - Samara	67:81 ✺
28.03.24	Runa Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	83:76 ✺
24.03.24	Minsk - Runa Moscow	79:86 ✺
21.03.24	MBA Moscow - Runa Moscow	89:77 ✺
18.03.24	Runa Moscow - Astana	70:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
18.03.24	Runa Moscow - Astana	70:75
28.01.24	Runa Moscow - Astana	80:67
30.11.23	Astana - Runa Moscow	90:93 OT

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