Match Info

POLAND: ENERGA BASKET LIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 3 February 2023, Friday

Location: Sisu Arena (Bydgoszcz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Astoria Bydgoszcz		Trefl Sopot

	1	2
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	3.25	1.28
	3.25	1.33
	3	1.36
	2.94	1.38	Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astoria Bydgoszcz
30.9%

Trefl Sopot
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astoria Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Trefl Sopot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astoria Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Astoria Bydgoszcz - Trefl Sopot Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Astoria Bydgoszcz will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Trefl Sopot will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Astoria Bydgoszcz: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:90

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Astoria Bydgoszcz won 2.

Recent matches Astoria Bydgoszcz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trefl Sopot is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Trefl Sopot will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Astoria Bydgoszcz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 647-699.

Including matches at home between the teams Astoria Bydgoszcz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 273-264.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astoria Bydgoszcz
Polish Basket Liga
28.01.23	GTK Gliwice - Astoria Bydgoszcz	82:89 ✺
21.01.23	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	89:98 ✺
14.01.23	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Start Lublin	92:100 ✺
08.01.23	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Dąbrowa Górnicza	78:80 ✺
30.12.22	Toruń - Astoria Bydgoszcz	88:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLLW
- Trefl Sopot
ENBL
01.02.23	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Trefl Sopot	88:65 ✺
31.01.23	Trefl Sopot - Brno	93:77 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
28.01.23	Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin	74:69 ✺
21.01.23	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Trefl Sopot	82:91 ✺
ENBL
17.01.23	Trefl Sopot - BC Wolves	89:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
15.10.22	Trefl Sopot - Astoria Bydgoszcz	90:71
13.02.22	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Trefl Sopot	105:90
24.10.21	Trefl Sopot - Astoria Bydgoszcz	81:86 OT (72:72)
Club Friendly Basketball
14.08.21	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Trefl Sopot	91:92 OT (81:81)
Polish Basket Liga
21.03.21	Trefl Sopot - Astoria Bydgoszcz	107:78
17.10.20	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Trefl Sopot	77:82
14.12.19	Trefl Sopot - Astoria Bydgoszcz	87:78

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