Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 14

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Hala Sportowa Stal (Ostrow Wielkopolski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski		Trefl Sopot

	1	2
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.36	Watch
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.25
	2.73	1.43
	3.7	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.02)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
29.2%

Trefl Sopot
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Trefl Sopot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Trefl Sopot Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stal Ostrów will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Trefl Sopot will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Ostrów: 77.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +8.5 - Stal Ostrów (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4, OT - Trefl Sopot (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 177, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Ostrów (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Trefl Sopot (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:91

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gibson T.	33. Goins K.
13. Jackson Q.	13. Kacinas M.
22. Laster D.	55. Schenk J. (C)
5. Mejeris M. (C)	0. Scruggs P.
55. Pluta M.	12. Witlinski M.
Substitutes
10. Brzovic A.	37. Addae Wusu D.
8. Czoska N.	18. Cowels R.
23. Rutecki J.	3. Kiejzik S.
11. Smektala A.	7. Nowicki S.
12. Waniak A.	11. Suurorg K.
	21. Zapala S.
Coaches
. Urban A.	. Larkas M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Trefl Sopot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trefl Sopot is considered a favorite.

We predict that Stal Ostrów will win today's game, with odds of 2.96.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1677:1591. (average 83.9:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Ostrów won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 946:831. (average 86:75.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Ostrow Wielkopolski	1	1	0	84:79	2
16	Trefl Sopot	1	0	1	63:102	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
Polish Basket Liga
28.12.25	Dziki Warszawa - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	80:61 ✺
23.12.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - GTK Gliwice	96:93 OT ✺
20.12.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Śląsk Wrocław	93:72 ✺
13.12.25	Zielona Góra - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	98:84 ✺
04.12.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Anwil Włocławek	104:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWLW
- Trefl Sopot
Polish Basket Liga
28.12.25	Trefl Sopot - Czarni Słupsk	97:61 ✺
20.12.25	Toruń - Trefl Sopot	95:86 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
17.12.25	Trefl Sopot - UCAM Murcia	77:93 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
13.12.25	Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot	84:105 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	Rostock Seawolves - Trefl Sopot	97:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
02.03.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Trefl Sopot	95:82
26.10.24	Trefl Sopot - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	96:81
03.03.24	Trefl Sopot - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	88:76
04.11.23	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Trefl Sopot	70:71
18.03.23	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Trefl Sopot	79:84
ENBL
01.02.23	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Trefl Sopot	88:65
Polish Basket Liga
20.11.22	Trefl Sopot - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	93:78

Upcoming Matches