Match Info

LNBP

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Astros (Guadalajara)


	Astros de Jalisco		Gambusinos de Fresnillo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.20	3.90
	1.19	4.10
	1.15	4.48
	1.19	4.07	Watch
	1.13	4.40
	1.15	4.65
	1.19	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.2)	4.31 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astros de Jalisco
78.6%

Gambusinos de Fresnillo
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astros de Jalisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gambusinos de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Astros de Jalisco - Gambusinos de Fresnillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Andriassi M.	20. Alaekwe C.
13. Ascanio J.	0. De Jesus J. (C)
9. Cruz Saldivar F. J.	10. Feagin K.
5. Kyser M.	5. Gaddy K.
26. Mendoza R.	21. Mitchell C.
Substitutes
3. 3 (C)	32. Agbonkpolo M.
10. Anderson A.	14. Alvarez V.
12. Andrade P.	87. Baldenebro J.
8. Ayala D.	24. De Haro O.
29. Benson B.	6. Hankerson K.
4. Slaughter A. J.	33. Kramer K.
11. Zubcic T.	11. Zesati J.

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - LNBP Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th in the Promotion - LNBP Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

Astros has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Gambusinos have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Astros for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Astros has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 439:405 (averaging 87.8:81 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Astros against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 280:239 goals (averaging 93.3:79.7 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Astros	28	20	8	2473:2246	48
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	2233:2327	39

Last Results with these Odds

Astros de Jalisco - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 75.51%, but this team recently wins 95% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astros de Jalisco
Mexican LNBP
06.10.26	Astros de Jalisco - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	96:89 ✺
03.10.26	Astros de Jalisco - Fuerza Regia	101:87 ✺
02.10.26	Astros de Jalisco - Fuerza Regia	74:77 ✺
27.09.26	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Astros de Jalisco	67:86 ✺
26.09.26	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Astros de Jalisco	77:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW
- Gambusinos de Fresnillo
Mexican LNBP
06.10.26	Astros de Jalisco - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	96:89 ✺
02.10.26	El Calor de Cancun - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	74:67 ✺
01.10.26	El Calor de Cancun - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	82:71 ✺
26.09.26	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Correcaminos UAT Victoria	102:83 ✺
25.09.26	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Correcaminos UAT Victoria	103:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
06.10.26	Astros de Jalisco - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	96:89
25.07.26	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Astros de Jalisco	80:88
24.07.26	Gambusinos de Fresnillo - Astros de Jalisco	86:71
04.09.25	Astros de Jalisco - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	84:74
03.09.25	Astros de Jalisco - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	100:76

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