The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atenas 46.5%
Independiente de Oliva 53.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
63.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
61.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atenas's performance.
Independiente de Oliva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente de Oliva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atenas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de Oliva than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente de Oliva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atenas - Independiente de Oliva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:83
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Bustamante L. A.
2. Conrradi F.
3. Ferreyra S.
27. Filipetti E.
10. Montero J.
9. Rolfi F.
1. Sanders N.
8. Tabarez P.
8. Zurschmitten N.
19. Vallejos R.
Substitutes
18. Imaz B.
7. Barrionuevo F.
15. Ledesma R.
1. Caffaro A.
22. Maidana J.
4. Diaz J.
21. Misetich G.
12. Duvanced V.
77. Oberto J. C.
5. Fernandez M.
55. Tomatis T.
6. Marcucci N. J.
31. Valfre F.
10. Pautasso A.
Preview
Atenas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Ind de Oliva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 307:323. (average 76.8:80.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 155:157. (average 77.5:78.5).