Match Info

Liga A - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Polideportivo Independiente DSC (Oliva)


	Independiente de Oliva		La Unión Formosa

	1	2
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.5	2.45
	1.57	2.5
	1.56	2.23	Watch
	1.55	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente de Oliva
60.2%

La Unión Formosa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente de Oliva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

La Unión Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de Oliva than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Unión Formosa than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Independiente de Oliva - La Unión Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caffaro A.	0. Beavers B.
6. Marcucci N. J.	7. Elsener A.
9. Rolfi F.	15. Graterol W.
8. Tabarez P.	4. Marina M.
19. Vallejos R.	2. Nuno T.
Substitutes
7. Barrionuevo F.	6. Acevedo S.
2. Conrradi F.	17. Alorda F.
12. Duvanced V.	77. Gaskins T.
5. Fernandez M.	10. Gimenez M.
27. Filipetti E.	1. Gronda T.
51. Hurtado C.	8. Machuca J.
10. Pautasso A.	9. Moresco A.

Preview

Independiente de Oliva leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind de Oliva won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

La Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, La Unión has had a series of home games.

Ind de Oliva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Ind de Oliva will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ind de Oliva won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 932:934. (average 84.7:84.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind de Oliva won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 433:393. (average 86.6:78.6).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Independiente de Oliva: 1.45% La Union: 0.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
10	La Union	2	1	1	176:178	0.500
14	Independiente de Oliva	1	0	1	92:97	0.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente de Oliva
Argentinian LNB
30.04.26	Independiente de Oliva - La Unión Formosa	83:78 ✺
26.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Independiente de Oliva	86:62 ✺
24.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Independiente de Oliva	91:102 ✺
18.04.26	Independiente de Oliva - Quimsa	102:110 OT ✺
15.04.26	Obras Sanitarias - Independiente de Oliva	73:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWLW
- La Unión Formosa Basketball
Argentinian LNB
30.04.26	Independiente de Oliva - La Unión Formosa	83:78 ✺
26.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Independiente de Oliva	86:62 ✺
24.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Independiente de Oliva	91:102 ✺
17.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Atenas	82:84 ✺
14.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	91:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
30.04.26	Independiente de Oliva - La Unión Formosa	83:78
26.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Independiente de Oliva	86:62
24.04.26	La Unión Formosa - Independiente de Oliva	91:102
18.03.26	La Unión Formosa - Independiente de Oliva	103:91
04.11.25	Independiente de Oliva - La Unión Formosa	91:87
22.04.25	Independiente de Oliva - La Unión Formosa	82:80
12.01.25	La Unión Formosa - Independiente de Oliva	89:95

Independiente de Oliva - La Unión Formosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide