Match Info
Liga ADate: 31 March 2026, TuesdayLocation: Polideportivo Carlos Cerutti (Cordoba)
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Atenas |
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Peñarol de Mar del Plata |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 161.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atenas
47.1% | Peñarol de Mar del Plata
52.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atenas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atenas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peñarol de Mar del Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Atenas - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atenas (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atenas will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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4.  Buendia C.
| 3. Basualdo I.
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35. Cavallero T.
| 73.  Carreras X.
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3. Ferreyra S.
| 4. Guerra L.
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77. Oberto J. C.
| 18. Perez A.
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1.  Sanders N.
| 1. Thornton A.
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| Substitutes |
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24. Gallo F.
| 35. Acuna R.
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28. Gonzalez L.
| 22. Armand S.
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20. Gonzalez M.
| 11. Chapero M.
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18. Imaz B.
| 15. Chiaraviglio N.
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15. Ledesma R.
| 13. Cordoba G.
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21. Misetich G.
| 2. Tolosa F.
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2. Purifoy D.
| 9. Vazquez F.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 1.Atenas has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Peñarol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1625:1681. (average 81.3:84.1).Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 809:819. (average 80.9:81.9).
Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now
Atenas: 8.67% Penarol: 2.81%
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
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| 6 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 62:57 | 1.000 |
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| 9 | Atenas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 168:170 | 0.500 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Peñarol de Mar del Plata - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian LNB | | | 13.12.25 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atenas | 87:67 | | 09.02.25 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atenas | 81:66 | | 20.12.24 | Atenas - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 82:71 | | 08.02.23 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atenas | 103:84 | | 28.10.22 | Atenas - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 56:82 | | 18.01.22 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atenas | 86:79 | | 10.11.21 | Atenas - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 85:102 |
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