Match Info

Liga A

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Polideportivo Islas Malvinas (Mar del Plata)


	Peñarol de Mar del Plata		Racing de Chivilcoy

	1	2
	1.48	2.55
	1.47	2.55
	1.45	2.75
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)	2.57 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
63.6%

Racing de Chivilcoy
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Racing de Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Racing de Chivilcoy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Peñarol de Mar del Plata will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Basualdo I.	2. Cooper T.
73. Carreras X.	22. McClenton D.
4. Guerra L.	6. Rodriguez M.
18. Perez A.	14. Stucky N.
1. Thornton A.	4. Valinotti J.
Substitutes
35. Acuna R.	9. Assum S.
22. Armand S.	8. Barrales A.
15. Chiaraviglio N.	10. Conte J.
13. Cordoba G.	18. Delia T.
33. Rossi G.	21. Gonzalez F.
2. Tolosa F.	33. Romano N.
9. Vazquez F.	31. Tonarelli D.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Racing de Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Peñarol is the team to beat.

We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 91:85.

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Penarol: 2.81% Racing de Chivilcoy: 1.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Penarol	1	1	0	62:57	1.000
7	Racing de Chivilcoy	1	1	0	126:123	1.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
07.03.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atlético Platense	79:72 ✺
21.02.26	Regatas Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	67:86 ✺
19.02.26	San Martín de Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:84 ✺
15.02.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Argentino	69:74 ✺
04.02.26	Ciclista Olímpico - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	74:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLW
- Racing de Chivilcoy
Argentinian LNB
10.03.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Chivilcoy	80:81 ✺
06.03.26	Racing de Chivilcoy - Independiente de Oliva	89:84 ✺
04.03.26	Argentino - Racing de Chivilcoy	98:90 ✺
18.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Racing de Chivilcoy	77:74 ✺
12.02.26	Racing de Chivilcoy - Boca Juniors	84:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
14.01.26	Racing de Chivilcoy - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	85:91 OT

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