Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Auburn Tigers		Mississippi State Bulldogs

	1	2
	1.24	3.9
	1.25	3.65
	1.27	3.95
	1.29	3.34	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.26	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	3.72 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auburn Tigers
74.7%

Mississippi State Bulldogs
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auburn Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mississippi State Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auburn Tigers than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mississippi State Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Auburn Tigers - Mississippi State Bulldogs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mississippi State (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auburn won 3.

In recent matches, Auburn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mississippi State has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mississippi State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Auburn is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Auburn won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1476:1410. (average 73.8:70.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Auburn won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 727:656. (average 72.7:65.6).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Mississippi St.: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auburn Tigers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.03.26	Alabama Crimson Tide - Auburn Tigers	96:84 ✺
03.03.26	Auburn Tigers - LSU Tigers	88:74 ✺
28.02.26	Auburn Tigers - Ole Miss Rebels	79:85 ✺
24.02.26	Oklahoma Sooners - Auburn Tigers	91:79 ✺
21.02.26	Auburn Tigers - Kentucky Wildcats	75:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- Mississippi State Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.03.26	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Georgia Bulldogs	96:102 ✺
03.03.26	Florida Gators - Mississippi State Bulldogs	108:74 ✺
28.02.26	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Missouri Tigers	64:88 ✺
25.02.26	Alabama Crimson Tide - Mississippi State Bulldogs	100:75 ✺
21.02.26	South Carolina Gamecocks - Mississippi State Bulldogs	97:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Auburn Tigers	91:85
14.01.25	Auburn Tigers - Mississippi State Bulldogs	88:66
16.03.24	Auburn Tigers - Mississippi State Bulldogs	73:66
02.03.24	Auburn Tigers - Mississippi State Bulldogs	78:63
27.01.24	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Auburn Tigers	64:58
14.01.23	Auburn Tigers - Mississippi State Bulldogs	69:63
02.03.22	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Auburn Tigers	68:81 OT (61:61)

Auburn Tigers - Mississippi State Bulldogs