Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Eurosport 2
Switzerland	SRF 2, SRF 2
World	Eurosport 6, Max


	Australia		Spain

	1	2
	1.5	2.65
	1.55	2.45
	1.5	2.6
	1.51	2.66
	1.55	2.52	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.49
	1.48	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	2.55 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Australia
62.6%

Spain
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spain than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Australia - Spain Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Australia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Spain will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daniels D. New Orleans Pelicans	21. Abrines A. Barcelona
3. Giddey J. Chicago Bulls	7. Aldama S. Memphis Grizzlies
15. Kay N. Shimane	2. Brown L. Panathinaikos
13. Landale J. Houston Rockets	14. Hernangomez W. Barcelona
5. Mills P. Miami Heat	6. Lopez-Arostegui X. Valencia
Substitutes
8. Dellavedova M. Melbourne United	8. Brizuela D. Barcelona
11. Exum D. Dallas Mavericks	9. Diaz A. Unicaja
6. Green J. Dallas Mavericks	5. Fernandez R. Real Madrid
7. Ingles J. Orlando Magic	16. Garuba U. Golden State Warriors
22. Magnay W. Tasmania JackJumpers	10. Hernangomez J. Panathinaikos
17. McVeigh J. Tasmania JackJumpers	23. Llull S. Real Madrid
26. Reath D. Portland Trail Blazers	4. Pradilla J. Valencia
Coaches
. Goorjian B.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

Australia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Spain is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Australia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Australia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Australia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 246-266.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Australia basketball
Friendly International Basketball
21.07.24	France - Australia	82:83 ✺
19.07.24	Australia - Puerto Rico	90:75 ✺
16.07.24	Australia - Serbia	84:73 ✺
15.07.24	USA - Australia	98:92 ✺
04.07.24	Australia - China	91:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW
- Spain basketball
Friendly International Basketball
23.07.24	Spain - Puerto Rico	107:84 ✺
19.07.24	Spain - Argentina	74:72 ✺
Olympic Games - Basketball
07.07.24	Spain - Bahamas	86:78 ✺
06.07.24	Finland - Spain	74:81 ✺
03.07.24	Spain - Angola	89:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
13.09.19	Spain - Australia	95:88 OT (71:71)
Olympic Games - Basketball
21.08.16	Australia - Spain	88:89
31.07.12	Australia - Spain	70:82

Australia - Spain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide