Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games Women

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV
France	Eurosport 1, France 3
World	Eurosport 6, Max


	Australia W		France W

	1	2
	3.05	1.4
	2.65	1.48
	2.8	1.45
	2.88	1.44
	2.81	1.42	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.79	1.43
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.34)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Australia W
33.9%

France W
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Australia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Australia W's form might have worsened.

France W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting France W's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia W than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Australia W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France W than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for France W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Australia W - France W Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Australia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). France will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magbegor E. Seattle Storm	11. Ayayi V. USK Prague
2. Melbourne J. Washington Mystics	22. Badiane M. Fenerbahce
11. Smith A. Minnesota Lynx	4. Fauthoux M. Lyon
6. Talbot S. Los Angeles Sparks	13. Salaun J. ESB Villeneuve
32. Whitcomb S. Seattle Storm	15. Williams G. Lyon
Substitutes
17. Atwell A.	47. Bernies R. Lattes Montpellier
20. Borlase I. Adelaide Lightning	6. Chery A. Lyon
15. George C. Sydney	23. Johannes M. Lyon
25. Jackson L. E. Southside Flyers	42. Lacan L. Angers
7. Madgen T. (C) Sydney	14. Malonga D. Tarbes GB
14. Tolo M. Uni Girona	10. Michel S. (C) Bourges
3. Wallace K. Indiana Fever	12. Rupert I. Virtus Bologna
Coaches
. Brondello S.	. Toupane J.

Preview

Recent matches Australia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

France is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Australia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match France is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's France to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Australia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 301-301.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Australia W basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
01.08.24	Australia W - Canada W	70:65 ✺
29.07.24	Nigeria W - Australia W	75:62 ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
23.07.24	Australia W - Canada W	74:77 ✺
22.07.24	Spain W - Australia W	66:75 ✺
05.07.24	Australia W - China W	91:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW
- France W basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
01.08.24	France W - Nigeria W	75:54 ✺
29.07.24	Canada W - France W	54:75 ✺
Friendly International Basketball Women
21.07.24	France W - China W	93:76 ✺
19.07.24	France W - Japan W	75:62 ✺
12.07.24	France W - Serbia W	85:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Cup Basketball Women
22.09.22	Australia W - France W	57:70
Friendly International Basketball Women
16.09.22	Australia W - France W	92:88
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
06.02.20	France W - Australia W	72:63
09.08.16	Australia W - France W	89:71
30.07.12	France W - Australia W	N/A

Australia W - France W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide