Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Coliseum da Coruna (La Coruña)

Referee: Fernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Básquet Coruña		CB Breogán

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.59	2.37	Watch
	1.59	2.34	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.59	2.39	Watch
	1.59	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.81)	2.33 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Básquet Coruña
59.3%

CB Breogán
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Básquet Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Básquet Coruña's performance.

CB Breogán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CB Breogán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Básquet Coruña than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Básquet Coruña that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CB Breogán than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CB Breogán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Básquet Coruña - CB Breogán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Barrueta Y.	3. Grant D.
12. Diagne A.	11. Hilliard D.
6. Scrubb P.	47. Kurucs A.
11. Taylor B.	18. Sakho J.
33. Thompkins T.	4. Vila Martinez E.
Substitutes
77. Burjanadze B.	8. Apic D.
22. Font A.	17. Aranitovic A.
13. Heurtel T.	7. Atic E.
8. Huskic G.	19. Mavra D.
7. Jakovics I.	99. Nakic T.
31. Lima	23. Quintela E.
25. Silins K.	21. Toure B.
Coaches
. Epifanio D.	. Casimiro L.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Básquet Coruña won 1.

Básquet Coruña is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Breogán is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Básquet Coruña could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Básquet Coruña will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Básquet Coruña won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1377:1446 (average 76.5:80.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Básquet Coruña won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 707:695 (average 78.6:77.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Básquet Coruña
Spanish ACB League
09.03.25	Basquet Manresa - Básquet Coruña	104:89 ✺
01.03.25	Básquet Coruña - Força Lleida CE	97:84 ✺
08.02.25	Joventut Badalona - Básquet Coruña	107:104 OT ✺
01.02.25	Básquet Coruña - Gran Canaria 2014	90:98 ✺
26.01.25	Real Madrid - Básquet Coruña	90:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- CB Breogán
Spanish ACB League
08.03.25	CB Breogán - BC Andorra	94:74 ✺
02.03.25	Barcelona - CB Breogán	102:79 ✺
08.02.25	CB Breogán - Unicaja Malaga	81:79 ✺
02.02.25	Canarias - CB Breogán	96:83 ✺
25.01.25	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	76:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
12.01.25	CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña	83:80
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
09.01.21	CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña	68:72
01.12.20	Básquet Coruña - CB Breogán	60:70
21.12.19	CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña	96:55
Club Friendly Basketball
16.09.18	Básquet Coruña - CB Breogán	64:84
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
20.04.18	Básquet Coruña - CB Breogán	86:93
29.12.17	CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña	84:73

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