Match Info

ACB - Round 11

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Pazo dos Deportes (Lugo)

Referee: Zamorano Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Spain	DAZN Espana


	CB Breogán		Bilbao Basket

	1	2
	1.77	2	Watch
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.83	2.03	Watch
	1.86	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.77)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Breogán
52%

Bilbao Basket
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Breogán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bilbao Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CB Breogán than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bilbao (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Bilbao Basket will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Andric M.	3. Frey H.
1. Cook K.	11. Hilliard D.
47. Kurucs A.	32. Hlinason T.
4. Russell D.	10. Krampelj M.
18. Sakho J.	2. Normantas M.
Substitutes
10. Alonso F.	13. Bagayoko B.
8. Apic D.	22. Font A.
17. Aranitovic A.	7. Jaworski J.
22. Brankovic D.	73. Lazarevic S.
0. Dibba B.	19. Pantzar M. J.
19. Mavra D.	18. Petrasek L.
23. Quintela E.	12. Zecevic A.
Coaches
. Casimiro L.	. Ponsarnau J.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breogán won 2.

In recent matches, Breogán has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bilbao Basket is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Breogán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Breogán won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 685:699. (average 76.1:77.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Breogán won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 396:375. (average 79.2:75).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Breogán
Spanish ACB League
13.12.25	CB Breogán - Canarias	96:108 ✺
06.12.25	Girona - CB Breogán	103:80 ✺
22.11.25	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	105:78 ✺
16.11.25	UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán	83:96 ✺
08.11.25	CB Breogán - Gran Canaria 2014	81:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL
- Bilbao Basket
FIBA Europe Cup
17.12.25	Prievidza - Bilbao Basket	46:83 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	Bilbao Basket - Força Lleida CE	93:75 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	Bilbao Basket - Sporting Lisbon	94:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.12.25	Bilbao Basket - Gran Canaria 2014	79:72 ✺
23.11.25	Baskonia - Bilbao Basket	110:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
25.01.25	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	76:71
29.09.24	Bilbao Basket - CB Breogán	90:72
30.03.24	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	68:80
09.12.23	Bilbao Basket - CB Breogán	68:76
10.05.23	Bilbao Basket - CB Breogán	83:66
22.10.22	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	86:70
Club Friendly Basketball
10.09.22	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	80:60

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