Match Info

Korisliiga Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: AGCO Power Areena (Nokia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	BC Nokia		HBA-Marsky Helsinki

	1	2
	2	1.67
	2.01	1.74
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	2.03	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BC Nokia
47.4%

HBA-Marsky Helsinki
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BC Nokia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

HBA-Marsky Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Nokia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBA-Marsky Helsinki than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

BC Nokia - HBA Marsky Helsinki Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. HBA-Marsky (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lawrence L.	11. Gardziella A.
5. Salmi N. (C)	13. Luukkanen A. (C)
7. Seppa E.	23. Machol A.
16. Timo T.	18. Nenonen J.
13. Walker C.	24. Talonen T.
Substitutes
10. Ahonen A.	15. Aden D.
68. Etu-Seppala M.	55. Helasuo E.
14. Honkonen M.	9. Koskela A.
15. Niskanen V.	5. Loukola S.
11. Nurminen A.	7. Nanje V.
73. Patrikainen V.	8. Pasanen M.
2. Riihela E.
Coaches
. Sopanen M.	. Hanninen J.

Preview

BC Nokia leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BC Nokia won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, BC Nokia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 671:693. (average 67.1:69.3).

Including home matches between the teams, BC Nokia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 251:279. (average 62.8:69.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	HBA-Marsky Helsinki W	2	2	0	179:128	4
4	BC Nokia W	2	1	1	169:152	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Nokia Women
Finnish Korisliiga Women
08.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	51:57 ✺
05.04.26	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	74:81 ✺
02.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	86:93 ✺
27.03.26	BC Nokia - Vimpelin Veto	71:69 ✺
24.03.26	Vimpelin Veto - BC Nokia	81:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWL
- HBA-Marsky Helsinki Women
Finnish Korisliiga Women
08.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	51:57 ✺
05.04.26	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	74:81 ✺
02.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	86:93 ✺
24.03.26	Espoo Basket Team - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	68:75 ✺
20.03.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - Espoo Basket Team	76:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga Women
08.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	51:57
05.04.26	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	74:81
02.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	86:93
30.01.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	76:49
29.11.25	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	50:73
05.11.25	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	65:81
19.03.25	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	62:71

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