Match Info

Korisliiga Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Urhea-halli (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	HBA-Marsky Helsinki		BC Nokia

	1	2
	1.58	2.15
	1.6	2.24
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)	2.18 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HBA-Marsky Helsinki
57.7%

BC Nokia
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HBA-Marsky Helsinki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

BC Nokia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBA-Marsky Helsinki than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Nokia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

HBA Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Gardziella A.	31. Lawrence L.
13. Luukkanen A. (C)	5. Salmi N. (C)
23. Machol A.	7. Seppa E.
18. Nenonen J.	16. Timo T.
24. Talonen T.	13. Walker C.
Substitutes
15. Aden D.	10. Ahonen A.
55. Helasuo E.	68. Etu-Seppala M.
9. Koskela A.	14. Honkonen M.
5. Loukola S.	15. Niskanen V.
7. Nanje V.	11. Nurminen A.
8. Pasanen M.	73. Patrikainen V.
	2. Riihela E.
Coaches
. Hanninen J.	. Sopanen M.

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HBA-Marsky won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

HBA-Marsky is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, HBA-Marsky won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 771:731. (average 70.1:66.5).

Including home matches between the teams, HBA-Marsky won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 414:420. (average 69:70).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	HBA-Marsky Helsinki W	2	2	0	179:128	4
4	BC Nokia W	2	1	1	169:152	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HBA-Marsky Helsinki Women
Finnish Korisliiga Women
12.04.26	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	60:78 ✺
08.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	51:57 ✺
05.04.26	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	74:81 ✺
02.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	86:93 ✺
24.03.26	Espoo Basket Team - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	68:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW
- BC Nokia Women
Finnish Korisliiga Women
12.04.26	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	60:78 ✺
08.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	51:57 ✺
05.04.26	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	74:81 ✺
02.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	86:93 ✺
27.03.26	BC Nokia - Vimpelin Veto	71:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga Women
12.04.26	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	60:78
08.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	51:57
05.04.26	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	74:81
02.04.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	86:93
30.01.26	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	76:49
29.11.25	BC Nokia - HBA-Marsky Helsinki	50:73
05.11.25	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - BC Nokia	65:81

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