Match Info

EUROPE: Eurocup - Round 16

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Edel-optics.de Arena (Hamburg)

Referee: Peer A. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Slovakia	Sport TV2


	BCJ Hamburg		Lietkabelis

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.68	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.33
	1.64	2.24	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.68	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.8)	2.22 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BCJ Hamburg
57.3%

Lietkabelis
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BCJ Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BCJ Hamburg's performance.

Lietkabelis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lietkabelis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BCJ Hamburg than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lietkabelis than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

BCJ Hamburg - Lietkabelis Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Lietkabelis will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lietkabelis: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ivey B.	16. Kalaitzakis G.
25. Ogbe K.	77. Danusevicius P.
23. Kuath K.	41. Gagic D.
6. Moller L.	17. Rubstavicius M.
21. Barnett J.	50. Kovliar O.
Substitutes
20. Giessmann F.	35. Lavrinovicius D.
8. Grey J.	12. Maldunas G.
4. Lottie J.	3. Stenionis D.
14. Reece C.	13. Varnas M.
3. Rich O.	18. Vasiliauskas G.
22. Stove J.
15. Tangermann M.
Coaches
. Barloschky B.	. Canak N.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hamburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 240:274 (average 80:91.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 72:87

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BCJ Hamburg
German BBL
17.01.25	Niners Chemnitz - BCJ Hamburg	69:60 ✺
Eurocup
15.01.25	Türk Telekom BK - BCJ Hamburg	77:65 ✺
German BBL
10.01.25	BCJ Hamburg - Baskets Bonn	91:84 ✺
Eurocup
08.01.25	BCJ Hamburg - Venezia	77:90 ✺
German BBL
06.01.25	Brose Bamberg - BCJ Hamburg	80:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLW
- Lietkabelis Panevezys
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
19.01.25	Lietkabelis - Nevėžis Kedainiai	77:67 ✺
Eurocup
16.01.25	Lietkabelis - Cedevita Olimpija	78:88 ✺
14.01.25	Lietkabelis - Valencia	91:96 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.01.25	Neptūnas - Lietkabelis	56:63 ✺
Eurocup
07.01.25	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Lietkabelis	79:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
06.11.24	Lietkabelis - BCJ Hamburg	91:68
04.04.22	BCJ Hamburg - Lietkabelis	72:87
10.11.21	Lietkabelis - BCJ Hamburg	96:100

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