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Current Win Probability
BCJ Hamburg 48.3%
Mitteldeutscher 51.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.8%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
48%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BCJ Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Mitteldeutscher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BCJ Hamburg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitteldeutscher than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
BCJ Hamburg - Mitteldeutscher Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:85
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th and 3rd in the Promotion - BBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.
Hamburg is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
MBC shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
MBC could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Hamburg has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1239:1245 (averaging 88.5:88.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hamburg against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 630:597 goals (averaging 90:85.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
Pts
3
Syntainics MBC
6
4
2
507:479
8
16
Hamburg
6
1
5
479:537
2
Outrights of German BBL for now
Syntainics MBC: 0.31%
Last Results with these Odds
Mitteldeutscher - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.22%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.