What is the expert prediction for BCJ Hamburg vs Bayern München?

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BCJ Hamburg vs Bayern München Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 29, 2026)

Match Info

BBL - Round 22

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Edel-optics.de Arena (Hamburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	BCJ Hamburg		Bayern München

	1	2
	6.5	1.09	Watch
	5	1.14
	6.59	1.12
	5.23	1.15	Watch
	5.5	1.13
	5.71	1.15	Watch
	5.8	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↓ (6)	1.13 ↑ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BCJ Hamburg
16.4%

Bayern München
83.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

84.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BCJ Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bayern München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ogbe K.	1. Da Silva O.
3. Rich O.	32. Gabriel W.
44. Turudic B.	21. Hollatz J.
34. Williams R.	10. Jessup J.
17. Wimberg N.	13. Obst A.
Substitutes
21. Daniels D.	0. Dimitrijevic N.
27. Gamble Jr. K.	5. Giffey N.
8. Grey J.	8. Kratzer L.
5. Maronka Z.	33. McCormack D.
6. Muller J.	22. Mike I.
52. Perrin Z.	4. Rathan-Mayes X.
2. Thorpe L. J.	7. Voigtmann J.
Coaches
. Barloschky B.	. Pesic S.

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.

Hamburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayern München has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayern München is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 941:1020. (average 78.4:85).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 413:401. (average 82.6:80.2).

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Outrights of German BBL for now

Bayern: 69.04%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Bayern	31	26	5	2727:2297	52
14	Hamburg	31	13	18	2666:2726	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BCJ Hamburg
German BBL
26.03.26	Science City Jena - BCJ Hamburg	106:95 ✺
22.03.26	BCJ Hamburg - Trier	90:72 ✺
18.03.26	Trier - BCJ Hamburg	101:92 ✺
13.03.26	BCJ Hamburg - Heidelberg	86:83 ✺
10.03.26	BCJ Hamburg - Science City Jena	82:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- Bayern München Basketball
Euroleague
26.03.26	Bayern München - ASVEL Basket	93:83 ✺
24.03.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Bayern München	78:71 ✺
19.03.26	Bayern München - Dubai	74:87 ✺
German BBL
15.03.26	Brose Bamberg - Bayern München	97:93 ✺
Euroleague
12.03.26	Bayern München - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	80:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
05.10.25	Bayern München - BCJ Hamburg	96:79
20.04.25	BCJ Hamburg - Bayern München	74:70
29.09.24	Bayern München - BCJ Hamburg	81:80
24.03.24	BCJ Hamburg - Bayern München	80:81 OT
08.10.23	Bayern München - BCJ Hamburg	90:79
14.02.23	Bayern München - BCJ Hamburg	70:89
22.10.22	BCJ Hamburg - Bayern München	81:78 OT (69:69)

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