Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Ball State Cardinals		Buffalo Bulls

	1	2
	1.72	2.05
	1.8	1.92
	1.84	2.02
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.8	2
	1.83	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	1.97 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ball State Cardinals
51.9%

Buffalo Bulls
48.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ball State Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Buffalo Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ball State Cardinals than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ball State Cardinals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Bulls than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buffalo Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ball State Cardinals - Buffalo Bulls Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ball State won 3.

Recent performances by Ball State have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buffalo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ball State has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Ball State will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ball State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1414:1545. (average 70.7:77.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ball State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 701:782. (average 70.1:78.2).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Ball State: 0.22% Buffalo: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ball State Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Ball State Cardinals	68:73 ✺
03.02.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Ball State Cardinals	77:52 ✺
31.01.26	Toledo Rockets - Ball State Cardinals	73:55 ✺
24.01.26	Ball State Cardinals - Northern Illinois Huskies	58:53 ✺
20.01.26	Central Michigan Chippewas - Ball State Cardinals	67:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW
- Buffalo Bulls basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Buffalo Bulls	81:69 ✺
03.02.26	Buffalo Bulls - Miami OH RedHawks	71:73 ✺
31.01.26	Buffalo Bulls - Ohio Bobcats	83:95 ✺
27.01.26	Bowling Green Falcons - Buffalo Bulls	78:89 ✺
23.01.26	Buffalo Bulls - Massachusetts Minutemen	67:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
03.01.26	Buffalo Bulls - Ball State Cardinals	85:72
22.02.25	Ball State Cardinals - Buffalo Bulls	80:66
01.02.25	Buffalo Bulls - Ball State Cardinals	76:89
23.01.24	Buffalo Bulls - Ball State Cardinals	59:87
24.01.23	Ball State Cardinals - Buffalo Bulls	65:91
12.02.22	Buffalo Bulls - Ball State Cardinals	80:74
14.01.22	Ball State Cardinals - Buffalo Bulls	68:74

Ball State Cardinals - Buffalo Bulls