Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Ball State Cardinals		Central Michigan Chippewas

	1	2
	1.7	2.1
	1.72	2.15
	1.7	2.05
	1.75	2.15
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.73	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.8)	2.09 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 134.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ball State Cardinals
54.8%

Central Michigan Chippewas
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ball State Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Central Michigan Chippewas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ball State Cardinals than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ball State Cardinals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Michigan Chippewas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Michigan Chippewas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ball State Cardinals - Central Michigan Chippewas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:68

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ball State won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Ball State will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ball State won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1371:1326. (average 68.6:66.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ball State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 693:676. (average 77:75.1).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Central Michigan: 0.22% Ball State: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Ball State Cardinals - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ball State Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	Western Michigan Broncos - Ball State Cardinals	71:74 OT ✺
28.02.26	Northern Illinois Huskies - Ball State Cardinals	43:79 ✺
24.02.26	Ball State Cardinals - Massachusetts Minutemen	74:73 OT ✺
20.02.26	Ball State Cardinals - Akron Zips	65:78 ✺
17.02.26	Ohio Bobcats - Ball State Cardinals	69:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLL
- Central Michigan Chippewas basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	Central Michigan Chippewas - Akron Zips	64:77 ✺
28.02.26	Buffalo Bulls - Central Michigan Chippewas	70:75 ✺
24.02.26	Kent State Golden Flashes - Central Michigan Chippewas	83:81 ✺
21.02.26	Central Michigan Chippewas - Western Michigan Broncos	83:70 ✺
17.02.26	Eastern Michigan Eagles - Central Michigan Chippewas	66:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
20.01.26	Central Michigan Chippewas - Ball State Cardinals	67:68
04.03.25	Ball State Cardinals - Central Michigan Chippewas	67:69
21.01.25	Central Michigan Chippewas - Ball State Cardinals	80:82
27.02.24	Central Michigan Chippewas - Ball State Cardinals	71:79
06.01.24	Ball State Cardinals - Central Michigan Chippewas	65:71
07.02.23	Central Michigan Chippewas - Ball State Cardinals	51:65
08.02.22	Ball State Cardinals - Central Michigan Chippewas	85:89 OT (78:78)

Ball State Cardinals - Central Michigan Chippewas